From Expert Observations to Early Signals: Testing the TALAP Approach

After studying international practice, TALAP began developing its own approach to strategic foresight in Kazakhstan. Its main task is to connect expert observations, facts from the economic agenda, and the possible consequences of change within a single analytical framework. The methodology combines three elements. The first is the expert lens: the professional perspective of specialists who continuously compare statistics, sectoral practice, management decisions, and informal signs of change. The second is the language of strategic foresight, which translates expert observations into signals, tension nodes, and cascades of possible consequences. The third is the use of artificial intelligence tools to process large volumes of publications and preliminarily structure the data.

This approach makes it possible not simply to summarize expert opinions, but to identify stable links between different observations. If several professional lenses point to a similar vulnerability, it is treated as a potential signal node. This node is then checked against the facts of the quarter, placed within the radar structure and linked to a possible trajectory of further developments.

This material records TALAP’s transition from the analysis of global experience to the creation of its own methodological foundation. It is the second step in developing this competence: from understanding the global demand for strategic foresight to designing a tool adapted to Kazakhstan’s economy.