From Expert Observations to Early Signals: Testing the TALAP Approach

After studying international practice, TALAP began developing its own approach to strategic foresight in Kazakhstan. Its main purpose is to connect expert observations, facts from the economic agenda and possible consequences of change into a single analytical framework.

The methodology is built on a combination of three elements. The first is the expert lens: the professional perspective of specialists who constantly compare statistics, sectoral practice, policy decisions and informal signs of change. The second is the language of strategic foresight, which makes it possible to translate expert observations into signals, signal nodes and cascades of possible consequences. The third is artificial intelligence tools, used to process large volumes of publications and support the preliminary structuring of data.

This approach makes it possible not simply to summarize expert opinions, but to identify stable links between different observations. If several professional lenses point to a similar vulnerability, it is treated as a potential signal node. This node is then checked against the facts of the quarter, placed within the radar structure and linked to a possible trajectory of further developments.

This material records TALAP’s transition from the analysis of global experience to the creation of its own methodological foundation. It is the second step in developing this competence: from understanding the global demand for strategic foresight to designing a tool adapted to Kazakhstan’s economy.